Blu-Ray: We Will Completely Replace DVD Within 3 Years

[Patryn]

So says the association.


Of course, they're living in fantasy world. The speed with which DVD was picked up was an aberration, because it was an upgrade that everybody could see. Frankly, for Blu-Ray unless you have a high end system, you don't get that much better of an effect.

[Bon]

Re: Blu-Ray: We Will Completely Replace DVD Within 3 Years

Well...if that does happen in three years, I won't be buying a blu-ray system right away. Those things are ridiculously expensive, and my DVD player/VCR combo works just fine. How much different is the quality anyway?

[Funk]

Re: Blu-Ray: We Will Completely Replace DVD Within 3 Years

Good luck on that, Blu-Ray. Been hanging around with Sony too much, methinks.

[Kire]

Re: Blu-Ray: We Will Completely Replace DVD Within 3 Years

It's still WAY too early. Only reason that there's a surge in blu-ray out there is because the ps3 JUST came out. Early adopters are gonna buy stuff, so it's not going to stay at the same pace.

[Ivan Rosenguard]

Re: Blu-Ray: We Will Completely Replace DVD Within 3 Years

I put a link in but for some reason it won't work. Just ingnore this post.

[The_Real_Crunk]

Re: Blu-Ray: We Will Completely Replace DVD Within 3 Years

Bah, DVDs are good enough for me. Save Bluray and HDDVD for things like computers and video games. Plus buying movies for $35 kinda blows.

Hell I get all whiny when a DVD costs me $20.

[John Mora]

Re: Blu-Ray: We Will Completely Replace DVD Within 3 Years

There are way too many components to make HD a difference for people and at the moment they're way too expensive. I mean, after you buy a $600 (minimum) player, a TV capable of displaying 1080p (there's, like, two or three at the most) and a HDMI cable (making sure it's 1.3 and not the OTHER standard), how much money did you just spend to see some more pixels?!?!?!?!?!

[tjoris9]

Re: Blu-Ray: We Will Completely Replace DVD Within 3 Years

Well, lets see. They have to:

1) Win the format war, because I know I'm not buying either format until one wins.

2) Reduce the price to about $200 tops for a standard player.

3) Reduce the price of HDTV's to $200 tops.

They have three years.

Let the carnage begin.

Oh, and:

4) Reduce the price of blu-ray discs to $20 on average.

[thetruecoolness]

Re: Blu-Ray: We Will Completely Replace DVD Within 3 Years

Yeah I'm not even sure if HDTV plans on replacing broadcast in 10 years, let alone 3. So I really doubt BluRay will beat out DVD in 3 years. Maybe HDDVD given it's superior quality, better marketing and better use in the Computing market, and of course the PS3 (since the 360 doesn't require HDDVD). So while I hope bluray wins out for the next DVD (since it is the better format technologically, and it would be nice to have 100GB optical discs [4 layer BluRay which isn't out yet but will be] to backup things), I doubt it will happen in 3 years times, maybe 5 or so, when HDTV has a much higher market saturation, but not until then. Of course once a technology becomes prevelant it's price typically drops (though CDs and DVDs are still around the same, there have been some lawsuits against them for price colluding [CDs anyway]).

But yeah, the average consumer is not going to see the difference between DVD and BluRay or HDDVD (or at least a justifiable difference), unless they have a 1080i HDTV and 5 speaker Dolby Digital surround sound. So until those become a centerpiece of American and 1st world country homes, don't think we'll see DVD doing anywhere. Don't see DVD-Audio beating out CD or MP3 for the same reasons. Hell people accepted MP3 (an inferior quality format to CD of some other lossless compression) given it's more portable, and you're able to fit more songs in the same space (up to 10 times or so). Why, because most people can't even notice the tonal differences, unless they have a really awesome stereo, and good tonal perception. So I think it's just a case of the technophiles and technologists, thinking everyone notices these huge jumps in the numbers behind it, but people only notice the video, not the technology behind it.

[JPS]

Re: Blu-Ray: We Will Completely Replace DVD Within 3 Years

I think Blu-Ray is too advanced right now to be worth anything, although it seems the industry if pretty much forcing the change on us.

DVD's hold 4.7GB whereas Blu-Ray discs hold 25GB on a single layer and 50GB on a dual layer

Blu-ray, also known as Blu-ray Disc (BD), is the name of a next-generation optical disc format jointly developed by the Blu-ray Disc Association (BDA), a group of the world's leading consumer electronics, personal computer and media manufacturers (including Apple, Dell, Hitachi, HP, JVC, LG, Mitsubishi, Panasonic, Pioneer, Philips, Samsung, Sharp, Sony, TDK and Thomson). The format was developed to enable recording, rewriting and playback of high-definition video (HD), as well as storing large amounts of data. The format offers more than five times the storage capacity of traditional DVDs and can hold up to 25GB on a single-layer disc and 50GB on a dual-layer disc. This extra capacity combined with the use of advanced video and audio codecs will offer consumers an unprecedented HD experience.

While current optical disc technologies such as DVD, DVD±R, DVD±RW, and DVD-RAM rely on a red laser to read and write data, the new format uses a blue-violet laser instead, hence the name Blu-ray. Despite the different type of lasers used, Blu-ray products can easily be made backwards compatible with CDs and DVDs through the use of a BD/DVD/CD compatible optical pickup unit. The benefit of using a blue-violet laser (405nm) is that it has a shorter wavelength than a red laser (650nm), which makes it possible to focus the laser spot with even greater precision. This allows data to be packed more tightly and stored in less space, so it's possible to fit more data on the disc even though it's the same size as a CD/DVD. This together with the change of numerical aperture to 0.85 is what enables Blu-ray Discs to hold 25GB/50GB.

Blu-ray is currently supported by more than 180 of the world's leading consumer electronics, personal computer, recording media, video game and music companies. The format also has broad support from the major movie studios as a successor to today's DVD format. In fact, seven of the eight major movie studios (Disney, Fox, Warner, Paramount, Sony, Lionsgate and MGM) are supporting the Blu-ray format and five of them (Disney, Fox, Sony, Lionsgate and MGM) are releasing their movies exclusively in the Blu-ray format. Many studios have also announced that they will begin releasing new feature films on Blu-ray Disc day-and-date with DVD, as well as a continuous slate of catalog titles every month. For more information about Blu-ray movies, check out our Blu-ray movies section which offers information about new and upcoming Blu-ray releases, as well as what movies are currently available in the Blu-ray format.

source - http://www.blu-ray.com/info/

[IRC]

Re: Blu-Ray: We Will Completely Replace DVD Within 3 Years

Blue Ray meet Betamax.

[thetruecoolness]

Re: Blu-Ray: We Will Completely Replace DVD Within 3 Years

Blue Ray meet Betamax.

Yeah, but here's to hoping the superior format actually wins this time. Really it looks like BluRay is doing much better at the moment. Considering it has really good penetration in the Games, PC, and Movie markets. Plus I know when I look around I typically see much more choice in BluRay players than HDDVD players (and I haven't even seen a HDDVD recorder for the PC, and like 3 or 4 BluRay ones). Though of course I'm sure both are still losing to DVD, because most consumers don't need that much quality, otherwise they'd all see it in theaters.

[tjoris9]

Re: Blu-Ray: We Will Completely Replace DVD Within 3 Years

Yeah I'm not even sure if HDTV plans on replacing broadcast in 10 years, let alone 3.

I need to look it up, but I read somewhere that the government is going to replace all standard broadcasting with HD broadcasts. I don't remember the timeframe, but I want to say 5-10 years at most. At that point anyone without an HDTV will need an adaptor to watch television.

[IRC]

Re: Blu-Ray: We Will Completely Replace DVD Within 3 Years

Actually they just plan on making all broadcasts just plain old digital and no more analog. Don't know what that means though.

The HD thing's been a misquote for years now.

[JPS]

Re: Blu-Ray: We Will Completely Replace DVD Within 3 Years

I found this with a lot of helpful information on the TV to HD transition, it says a lot of companies may never transition to HDTV due to costs

http://tv.about.com/od/cableandsatel...gitalmyths.htm

and on another link off of the one above

Right now, December 31, 2006 is the date over-the-air television stations are required to turn off their analog signal. But, the US government is attempting to prolong TV broadcasting on the analog spectrum for various reasons until 2008.